Burnley vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 0
SUN
61%
20%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
76%
15%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
SUN
3 - 2
BUR
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
BIR
2 - 3
BUR
42%
27%
30%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 0
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 3
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 2
HUR
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
NEW
3 - 0
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
HUR
1 - 2
NEW
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |