Burnley vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
SUN
3 - 0
BUR
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
BUR
2 - 1
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
WBA
4 - 1
BUR
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
BUR
2 - 2
WBA
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1920 |
BUR
2 - 0
DER
71%
17%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
BBU
2 - 0
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1920 |
NEW
0 - 0
BBU
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |