Burnley vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
POS
2 - 1
BUR
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 2
MID
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DER
1 - 2
BUR
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 2
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 1
HUR
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SHW
3 - 1
MKD
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CUM
1 - 3
MKD
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
MKD
3 - 3
BRE
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 0
STE
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |