Burnley vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 0
HUL
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
ASV
1 - 0
BUR
72%
19%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
CRY
2 - 0
BUR
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
LEI
0 - 1
BUR
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 2
LEE
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PLY
0 - 0
MIL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
MAN
2 - 3
MIL
28%
25%
46%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 2
SOU
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 4
SHE
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 1
MIL
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |