Burnley vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DER
1 - 2
BUR
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 2
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CRY
2 - 0
BUR
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
BUR
6 - 3
BUR
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MID
1 - 1
COV
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
POS
0 - 2
MID
52%
22%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MID
3 - 1
BIR
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 3
MID
27%
27%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LEE
0 - 1
MID
53%
23%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |