Burnley vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
LIV
1 - 3
BUR
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
BUR
1 - 1
WHU
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
BUR
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
BUR
3 - 1
GRI
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1929 |
BBU
8 - 3
BUR
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
MID
4 - 1
SHW
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
LEE
1 - 2
MID
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1929 |
ARS
1 - 2
MID
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
MID
2 - 3
ASV
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1929 |
MID
3 - 0
SUN
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |