Burnley vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 0
HUR
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
HUR
1 - 0
BUR
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 0
TOT
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
TOT
1 - 1
BUR
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
NEW
0 - 0
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
MID
3 - 1
LIV
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
LIV
4 - 0
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |