Burnley vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1915 |
BUR
3 - 1
TOT
64%
19%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1915 |
BUR
1 - 2
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
BRA
0 - 0
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1914 |
CHL
1 - 4
BUR
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1914 |
WBA
3 - 0
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1915 |
MID
3 - 0
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1915 |
CHL
2 - 2
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1915 |
MID
5 - 1
EVE
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
WBA
1 - 0
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
MID
2 - 3
SUN
42%
23%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |