EFL Cup 1/64
Global 5-0
Burnley vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
MIL
2 - 1
BUR
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
BUR
0 - 0
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
BUR
1 - 3
STF
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
BUR
2 - 1
WAL
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
MAN
0 - 3
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
MAN
0 - 0
ROC
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
HAR
2 - 2
MAN
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
MAN
0 - 3
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
CHE
2 - 1
MAN
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
MAN
1 - 2
COL
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |