Burnley vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
MUD
1 - 2
BUR
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
BUR
0 - 1
LEE
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
ARS
2 - 4
BUR
54%
22%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
BUR
4 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
FUL
1 - 0
BUR
52%
21%
26%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
MUD
1 - 2
BUR
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
MUD
2 - 3
WBA
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
NTT
1 - 5
MUD
31%
23%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
MUD
3 - 1
BPO
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
EVE
2 - 1
MUD
33%
22%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |