Burnley vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
BUR
1 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
WBA
0 - 0
BUR
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
BUR
5 - 0
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1954 |
SHW
2 - 0
BUR
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
MUD
2 - 0
TOT
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
PNE
1 - 3
MUD
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
MUD
1 - 5
BOL
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1954 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUD
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |