Burnley vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
WBA
3 - 0
BUR
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1949 |
STO
1 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
BUR
0 - 1
DER
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1949 |
BUR
2 - 1
STO
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 1
BUR
44%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 2
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 1
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 2
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |