Burnley vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
BUR
2 - 1
BIR
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
BOL
7 - 1
BUR
56%
21%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
BUR
3 - 1
SHW
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
MID
2 - 3
BUR
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
MUD
5 - 1
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
SUN
4 - 1
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
MUD
2 - 0
OPA
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
WHU
1 - 2
MUD
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
MUD
5 - 0
DER
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |