Burnley vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
MUD
0 - 1
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
BUR
3 - 1
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 0
HUR
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
HUR
1 - 0
BUR
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
MUD
0 - 1
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIV
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 1
MUD
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
MUD
1 - 1
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
BRA
2 - 1
MUD
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |