Burnley vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
LIV
0 - 1
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
BUR
1 - 2
LIV
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
SHE
1 - 3
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 2
SHE
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 3
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
MUD
3 - 0
SHE
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
SHE
2 - 2
MUD
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
MUD
1 - 0
MAC
52%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
MAC
3 - 3
MUD
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
MUD
1 - 1
MID
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |