Burnley vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
BOL
3 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1915 |
BUR
2 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1915 |
LIV
3 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1915 |
BUR
2 - 1
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1915 |
SHE
1 - 0
BUR
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
MUD
1 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1915 |
MUD
1 - 2
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1915 |
WBA
0 - 0
MUD
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1915 |
MUD
2 - 0
SHW
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1915 |
SUN
1 - 0
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |