Burnley vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
IPS
3 - 2
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
BUR
1 - 1
DER
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1973 |
BUR
2 - 2
TOT
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
WOL
0 - 2
BUR
71%
17%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1973 |
TOT
2 - 3
BUR
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
MAC
3 - 2
CHL
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
LEI
1 - 1
MAC
38%
29%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1973 |
COV
2 - 1
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1973 |
MAC
1 - 0
COV
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |