Burnley vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
BUR
5 - 0
LAU
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1966 |
LAU
1 - 3
BUR
33%
24%
44%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
BUR
5 - 2
LEI
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
CHL
1 - 3
BUR
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1966 |
BUR
1 - 0
BPO
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
MAC
1 - 2
TOT
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1966 |
MAC
1 - 4
CHL
33%
25%
43%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
BPO
0 - 1
MAC
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
MUD
1 - 0
MAC
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |