Burnley vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1960 |
NEW
0 - 1
BUR
54%
21%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1960 |
MAC
2 - 1
BUR
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
BUR
3 - 2
ARS
65%
18%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1960 |
BUR
2 - 2
WOL
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1960 |
MAC
1 - 2
BUR
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1960 |
MAC
2 - 1
BUR
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
NTT
2 - 2
MAC
45%
23%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1960 |
MAC
1 - 2
BUR
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAC
58%
19%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
MAC
2 - 1
PNE
49%
22%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |