Burnley vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1957 |
BUR
1 - 3
MUD
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1957 |
BUR
2 - 1
ASV
54%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
CHA
1 - 2
BUR
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
BUR
1 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1957 |
WOL
1 - 2
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 4
EVE
67%
18%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
MAC
0 - 2
PNE
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
OPA
0 - 1
MAC
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 1
WBA
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 3
ARS
54%
21%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |