Burnley vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1947 |
BBU
1 - 2
BUR
59%
20%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1947 |
BUR
1 - 0
BPO
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1947 |
SHE
1 - 1
BUR
69%
18%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1947 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
30%
27%
44%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1947 |
CHA
1 - 1
BUR
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1947 |
MAC
3 - 0
STO
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1947 |
PNE
2 - 1
MAC
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1947 |
BPO
1 - 1
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1947 |
MAC
1 - 3
BBU
68%
18%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1947 |
MAC
0 - 0
MUD
50%
22%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |