Burnley vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
BUR
2 - 2
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
BOL
1 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
LEI
4 - 3
BUR
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
BUR
4 - 1
MID
59%
20%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
LIV
1 - 3
BUR
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
MAC
1 - 2
ASV
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
ASV
0 - 2
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
BBU
1 - 3
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
MAC
3 - 2
LEI
67%
18%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |