Burnley vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 3
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
3 - 1
SWI
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
SWI
1 - 1
BUR
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
BOL
0 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 1
BUR
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
PNE
4 - 1
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1924 |
CAR
0 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
MAC
0 - 0
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
MAC
3 - 2
MID
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
MAC
2 - 2
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |