Burnley vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 1
BUR
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
SHW
3 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
BUR
0 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
ASV
2 - 2
BUR
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
MID
4 - 0
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 1
BUR
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
MAC
1 - 0
MID
60%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
MAC
4 - 1
ARS
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRA
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |