Burnley vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
SWA
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 1
RSO
27%
27%
47%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GLA
1 - 3
BUR
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 2
BUR
14%
20%
66%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 4
BUR
20%
23%
56%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 4
LIV
56%
24%
21%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
M05
4 - 0
LIV
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LIV
4 - 0
FCB
9%
17%
75%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 2
ROM
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 0
ACM
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |