Burnley vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
BUR
2 - 1
CHL
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
SHW
1 - 0
BUR
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
BUR
1 - 0
MUD
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
TOT
7 - 0
BUR
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
BUR
1 - 1
COV
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
LIV
2 - 1
ATH
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
WOL
0 - 6
LIV
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
LIV
4 - 0
LEI
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
ATH
2 - 1
LIV
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
IPS
0 - 2
LIV
41%
28%
31%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |