Burnley vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
ASV
1 - 0
BUR
34%
23%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 1
WOL
57%
21%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
SUN
3 - 2
BUR
31%
23%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
BUR
2 - 1
LEI
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
CHL
0 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOT
48%
21%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1964 |
LIV
3 - 0
AND
46%
22%
33%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
STO
1 - 1
LIV
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
LIV
2 - 0
NTT
64%
19%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
FUL
1 - 1
LIV
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |