Burnley vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
WBA
0 - 0
BUR
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
BUR
5 - 0
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1954 |
SHW
2 - 0
BUR
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
PNE
2 - 1
BUR
61%
20%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1953 |
BUR
2 - 1
PNE
50%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
LIV
2 - 2
TOT
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
PNE
2 - 1
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1954 |
LIV
1 - 2
BOL
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
LIV
0 - 0
WBA
38%
23%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1953 |
WBA
5 - 2
LIV
67%
17%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |