Burnley vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 1
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
MUD
5 - 0
BUR
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1947 |
PNE
3 - 2
BUR
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
BUR
1 - 0
PNE
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
BUR
3 - 2
OPA
41%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 3
CHA
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
ARS
1 - 2
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
LIV
1 - 3
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PNE
3 - 3
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |