Burnley vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
WHU
1 - 0
BUR
58%
19%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1930 |
BUR
1 - 3
HUR
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
BUR
4 - 0
MUD
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
GRI
4 - 0
BUR
39%
21%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
BUR
3 - 2
BBU
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 3
SHW
51%
23%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1930 |
ARS
0 - 1
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
LEE
1 - 1
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
BOL
0 - 2
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |