Burnley vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1928 |
BUR
5 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
BIR
4 - 0
BUR
42%
23%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
BUR
2 - 2
BOL
56%
21%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
SHW
5 - 0
BUR
44%
22%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1928 |
BUR
1 - 1
MID
66%
17%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 1
MID
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
SHW
4 - 0
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
BBU
2 - 1
LIV
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1928 |
ARS
6 - 3
LIV
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |