Burnley vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
BUR
7 - 1
OLD
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
OLD
2 - 2
BUR
45%
27%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1920 |
BUR
3 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1920 |
NEW
1 - 2
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 1
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 0
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 3
LIV
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 1
BRA
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |