Burnley vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
SHE
1 - 3
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 2
SHE
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 3
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
0 - 1
BUR
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
BUR
3 - 1
BBU
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
LIV
0 - 1
CHL
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
CHL
1 - 0
LIV
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |