EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-2
Burnley vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
SOU
1 - 0
BUR
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
BUR
0 - 0
GIL
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
LIN
1 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
WAT
1 - 0
BUR
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
BUR
4 - 1
WAT
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
LIN
1 - 0
STF
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1997 |
LIN
1 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
LIN
0 - 2
ROC
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
SCA
0 - 2
LIN
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
LIN
2 - 0
SCU
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |