Burnley vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
BUR
0 - 2
EVE
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1954 |
BUR
1 - 1
CHL
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
MAC
0 - 0
BUR
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1954 |
CHL
1 - 0
BUR
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
BUR
1 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
LEI
0 - 2
MAC
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1954 |
LEI
0 - 1
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEI
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1954 |
CHA
2 - 3
LEI
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
LEI
1 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |