Burnley vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
ASV
10 - 0
BUR
60%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
SUN
1 - 1
BUR
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 1
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
ARS
5 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1925 |
ARS
2 - 2
LEI
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
LEI
3 - 1
LIV
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
LEI
4 - 0
STO
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
LEI
1 - 0
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEI
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |