Burnley vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 0
WOL
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 0
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 4
BUR
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
BPO
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CRY
4 - 3
BUR
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
BHA
2 - 2
LEE
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
LEE
3 - 0
SOU
42%
23%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LEE
0 - 1
BIR
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
LEE
1 - 1
CHA
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SHW
1 - 1
LEE
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |