Burnley vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 0
BOU
60%
21%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 0
BUR
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 0
LIV
26%
27%
48%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
BUR
0 - 0
REA
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
STO
0 - 1
BUR
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
LEE
1 - 1
BHA
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
DER
2 - 0
LEE
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
STO
0 - 1
LEE
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
LEE
1 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
BIR
3 - 0
LEE
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |