Burnley vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
SHE
2 - 1
BUR
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
BIR
4 - 0
BUR
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
BUR
4 - 4
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
DER
3 - 0
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
BUR
4 - 1
MID
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
LEE
1 - 1
TOT
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
STO
3 - 2
LEE
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
LEE
3 - 0
WOL
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
SHE
0 - 2
LEE
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1975 |
LEE
0 - 3
LIV
56%
25%
19%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |