Burnley vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
ARS
3 - 2
BUR
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 1
BBU
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1964 |
BUR
0 - 0
MUD
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
WBA
1 - 2
BUR
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
SHW
5 - 1
BUR
53%
22%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
LEE
3 - 1
TOT
27%
23%
50%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1964 |
STO
2 - 3
LEE
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
LEE
2 - 2
FUL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
LEE
1 - 2
NTT
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
CHL
2 - 0
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |