Burnley vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
ARS
2 - 4
BUR
54%
22%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
BUR
4 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
FUL
1 - 0
BUR
52%
21%
26%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
BUR
8 - 0
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1959 |
SHW
1 - 1
BUR
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
MAC
3 - 3
LEE
67%
18%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
LEE
1 - 4
FUL
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
NTT
4 - 1
LEE
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
LEE
1 - 3
SHW
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1959 |
WOL
4 - 2
LEE
83%
11%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |