Burnley vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
BUR
2 - 2
ARS
60%
19%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
OPA
7 - 1
BUR
43%
23%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
SUN
3 - 3
BUR
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
BUR
4 - 2
MAC
54%
21%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
BUR
2 - 2
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
LEE
0 - 1
HUR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
ASV
3 - 4
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
LEE
2 - 0
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
DER
3 - 0
LEE
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
LEE
2 - 1
DER
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |