Burnley vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 2
BUR
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
CAR
2 - 3
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1925 |
BCF
8 - 1
BUR
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 2
TOT
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1925 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 2
BUR
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
TOT
3 - 2
LEE
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
LEE
3 - 4
MAC
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1925 |
BIR
2 - 1
LEE
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1925 |
LEE
0 - 1
WBA
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |