Burnley vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
BUR
3 - 5
BBU
57%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 0
EVE
55%
23%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
PNE
0 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1924 |
TOT
1 - 0
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1924 |
LEE
1 - 0
EVE
31%
30%
39%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
LEE
4 - 0
PNE
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1924 |
LEE
1 - 1
NOT
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
CAR
3 - 0
LEE
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 0
LEE
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |