Burnley vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
BUR
3 - 1
SHE
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
BPO
2 - 4
BUR
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 5
LIV
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
ASV
1 - 0
BUR
34%
23%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
BUR
1 - 1
WOL
57%
21%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
FUL
3 - 1
WBA
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
WHU
2 - 0
FUL
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
FUL
3 - 4
ARS
44%
22%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
BBU
2 - 0
FUL
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
FUL
3 - 3
BPO
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |