Burnley vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
CHL
1 - 0
BUR
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
BUR
2 - 2
BIR
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1948 |
PNE
0 - 3
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1948 |
BUR
1 - 0
PNE
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
4 - 1
PNE
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
1 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1948 |
STO
1 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
CHL
6 - 0
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |