Burnley vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
MAC
2 - 2
BUR
64%
17%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1929 |
BUR
3 - 3
ARS
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1929 |
BBU
1 - 1
BUR
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1929 |
SHW
1 - 1
BUR
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
BUR
3 - 1
BOL
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
EVE
3 - 3
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1929 |
EVE
2 - 4
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1929 |
ARS
2 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
LEI
4 - 1
EVE
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |