Burnley vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
DER
4 - 0
BUR
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
BUR
2 - 2
BBU
62%
19%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
LEE
2 - 1
BUR
46%
22%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
BUR
3 - 4
MUD
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
LEI
1 - 1
BUR
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
EVE
0 - 1
LEE
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1928 |
EVE
2 - 1
BBU
60%
19%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
WHU
2 - 4
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
BBU
2 - 1
EVE
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
EVE
4 - 2
ARS
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |