Burnley vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1928 |
HUR
1 - 2
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
BUR
2 - 2
TOT
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
4 - 3
BUR
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1928 |
BUR
2 - 2
LIV
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1928 |
BUR
5 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
EVE
3 - 2
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1928 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
SHE
1 - 3
EVE
64%
19%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
EVE
1 - 1
BCF
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1928 |
EVE
4 - 1
BBU
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |