Burnley vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
HUR
2 - 1
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
BUR
2 - 1
LIV
46%
26%
27%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
6 - 1
BUR
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1925 |
NOT
0 - 1
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
BUR
2 - 2
ARS
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
SUN
7 - 3
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
EVE
2 - 3
HUR
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
LIV
5 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1925 |
BIR
3 - 1
EVE
45%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
MAC
4 - 4
EVE
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |